UAE Trade Growth Confidence Rises Into 2026 With Digitalisation And Strong Infrastructure

Trade leaders in the United Arab Emirates are entering 2026 with strong confidence in trade growth. DP World’s Global Trade Observatory Annual Outlook Report 2026 shows UAE sentiment outpacing many peers. This optimism comes even as global trade is forecast to slow because of geopolitical tensions, higher costs and supply chain risks.

The Global Trade Observatory survey finds almost two-thirds of UAE-based executives expect trade in 2026 to match or exceed 2025. This places the UAE ahead of many mature and emerging markets in the 19-country study. Executives see the country’s trade ecosystem as resilient despite external pressures on global flows.

Survey respondents report that companies are adjusting strategies rather than cutting back. Organisations are diversifying suppliers, expanding shipping routes and increasing logistics capacity. Many executives describe resilience as a core competitive strength. New markets and consumers are seen as the main engine of expansion, with 49% naming them as the primary driver of future trade growth.

Below are key numerical findings from the Global Trade Observatory survey of UAE trade leaders.

Physical trade infrastructure remains central to the UAE’s outlook. Executives highlight warehousing, logistics hubs and efficient customs processes as vital for future growth. Some 43% say customs infrastructure is the top enabler of expansion. They also stress the importance of strong ties with India, China and Japan, plus deeper links with emerging markets across Asia, Europe and Africa.

Digital tools are becoming embedded throughout supply chains that serve and pass through the UAE. Executives view digitalisation as essential to sustaining trade momentum and managing disruption. At the same time, many warn that cybersecurity is a major barrier. They say cyber risks must be tackled to realise the full benefits of digital trade.

Abdulla Bin Damithan, CEO and Managing Director, DP World GCC, said, "UAE trade leaders are confident because the fundamentals are strong. The expected impact of escalating global tariffs remains limited, while CEPA agreements (Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements) and continued customer growth in Jafza are reinforcing Dubai’s role as a reliable base for global trade. As traditional East-West trade flows come under pressure, our integrated infrastructure, connectivity and digital capabilities give businesses the confidence to manage disruption and grow into new markets."

The DP World Global Trade Observatory is described as a data- and insights-led platform for decision-makers. It uses research, including a survey of 3,500 supply chain and logistics executives in eight industries and 19 countries. The work was carried out in November 2025 by Geneva-based agency Horizon Group. Together, these findings depict a UAE trade sector preparing for challenges while targeting continued growth.

With inputs from WAM