Can Georgia Continue Their Dream Run Against Spain At Euro 2024?

Spain is the only team to have won all their games in the Euro 2024 group stages. They are now preparing for a last-16 match against Georgia in Cologne. Spain's group campaign ended with a narrow 1-0 win over Albania, thanks to an early goal by Ferran Torres.

Spain's defense has been solid, not conceding any goals in Germany so far. This performance is reminiscent of their form in 2012 when they last won a major tournament. Despite this, Spain must be cautious due to their less impressive recent knockout stage record, including exits in the last-16 of the 2018 and 2022 World Cups.

Georgia enters the match with high spirits after securing their first major international tournament victory over Portugal. Managed by Willy Sagnol, Georgia has gained global admiration and is aware of the immense challenge ahead, having faced Spain in the qualifiers.

Players to watch include Spain's 17-year-old Lamine Yamal, whose creativity has been critical. Yamal has yet to score but assisted Dani Carvajal and shown immense promise alongside Nico Williams. On Georgia's side, Georges Mikautadze poses a significant threat with three goals and an assist during the group stage.

According to Opta data, Spain is heavily favored to win with a 75% chance in data-led simulations. Georgia has a 10.7% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 14.4%. This will be Spain's eighth encounter with Georgia but their first meeting at a major tournament.

Georgia's Resilience

Despite facing the most shots and conceding the highest expected goals (xG) in the group stage, Georgia has shown resilience. They aim to continue their fearless approach against Spain. Giorgi Mamardashvili, Georgia’s formidable goalkeeper, has made 16 saves from 17 on-target shots at Euro 2024.

Historically, Spain has won six out of seven matches against Georgia since 2012 and dominated their qualifying fixtures with an aggregate score of 10-2. However, Spain must approach this game cautiously given their recent knockout stage performances.

Spain's Squad Depth

Spain's squad depth was highlighted by their rotation against Albania. Ferran Torres, Dani Olmo, and Alex Grimaldo displayed key performances but might not start against Georgia. A more familiar lineup is expected for this crucial match.

Georgia aims to replicate their aggressive start against Portugal where Khvicha Kvaratskhelia set a record with an early goal. Mikautadze continues to surprise as one of the top scorers after the group stages and plays a crucial role in Georgia’s attacking prowess.

Overall, while Spain remains the favorite, Georgia’s inspiring run and solid players promise an exciting and unpredictable encounter at Euro 2024.